Trading with
the trend is widely acclaimed as the best strategy for the noobie Forex Trader.
There is a lot to be said for the old adage “The Trend Is Your Friend” and many
worthy beginner traders come unstuck because they assume that the best way to
enter the markets is to look to buy at the bottom of a trend or sell at the
top.
Whilst this
can be a prudent strategy, it is not for the beginner and takes a lot of
practice and experience to be able to pull off trend reversals effectively.
Fear not,
however, as trading with the trend can yield excellent profits and, as you
practice with this method, you are naturally building up your skill set and
experience. This can then later be used to great effectivity for more complex
and more profitable strategies.
So, without
further ado, let’s get started…
Step 1 – Identify The Trend
Here is a YouTube video that will walk you three methods to identify a trend:
3 Ultimate Trend Identifying Tips!
This is by
far the most important step as, if you get this bit wrong, it will render the
rest of the steps irrelevant.
There are 3
different methods that I recommend to correctly identify the trend and you can
see a YouTube that I have created which focuses on this here:
My favourite
method is to use Highs and Lows – this method consists of analysing the chart
and plotting high and low points to confirm or invalidate the trend.
In an uptrend
you would plot a series of subsequent high points. Underneath this, on the same
chart, you would plot a series of subsequent higher low points.
As soon as
you get a lower high point or a lower low point then the trend is invalidated
and may be about to change direction.
Step 2 – Find An Entry Point
So, once you
have correctly identified the trend, the next step is to work out where you are
going to enter your trade.
Another
mistake that a lot of beginners make is trying to trade both directions on a trend
– this should not be attempted and is likely to cost you far more money than it
makes you!
The best
method for finding an entry point in an uptrend is to look for retracements
back to the higher low areas. You have to make sure that it is at least the
second higher low as only then is the uptrend confirmed.
You can then
enter and potentially make money from the continuation of the uptrend. Don’t
forget you should look for a candlestick signal or indicators/s signals as
added confirmation that the trend will continue.
In a downtrend
it is exactly the same process, except you are looking to enter at a
retracement back to lower highs.
Step 3 – Use a Stop Loss
Always make
sure you use a stop loss when trading! This is absolutely crucial! Spread Betting
is leveraged and using a stop loss will deleverage your trades, meaning that you
are far less likely to lose more than you originally invested.
A good rule
of thumb for setting a stop loss is to put it below the lowest point of the higher
low entry level on the uptrend and above the lower high on a downtrend. The
amount at which you set the stop loss away from the higher low/lower high is
dependent on the time-frame you are trading on.
For example,
I mostly trade on the daily and 4 hourly time-frames and so I usually use a
100-150 pip stop loss.
Step 4 – Always Have a Target
This is far
better worked out before you take the trade because you are far more likely to
be thinking logically and clearly when you are in the initial planning stages
of the trade than when it is in motion.
When in an
uptrend I target my take profit 100-200 pips above the previous high and in a downtrend
100-200 pips below the previous low. This also tends to set my risk to reward
ratio up to be at least 1.5-1 and often 2-1.
Make sure
you don’t move your take profit target – it is important to make sure you are
taking profits off the table and not get swept up in greed – this will lead to
winning positions turning into losses.
Ok, that’s
all for this blog post guys. I hope you enjoyed reading the article.
Don’t forget
to check out my YouTube video on 3 methods to correctly identify a trend!
Until next
time…
No comments:
Post a Comment