Moving averages can be a fantastic
tool to use as dynamic support and resistance…
The
advantage they have over static support and resistance levels like trendlines,
is that they use an average of recent price levels to form their smooth lines,
arguably making them more reactive and, therefore, a better indication of where
the price of the market may respect.
Here Is a YouTube Video That Will Take You Step By Step Through How To Analyse A Trend Entry Using Moving Averages As Your Support And Resistance Indicators
Best Forex Support And ResistanceIndicator To Use To Trade Support And resistance
So, the big question is which ones
should you use!?
With so many
blogs and tutorials out there suggesting their favourite methods it can be
tough to know which is the best one. I want to take a slightly different route
and help you to decide using a test strategy on your charts.
Ok, first
off, moving averages are most useful in trending markets – that is uptrends or
downtrends. Now, they are not completely useless in ranging markets, but as
support and resistance levels, trending markets are certainly preferable.
So, you have
your market that is in a trend – as you can see from the image below – which is
a 4 hourly chart of the NZD/CAD.
We can see
that the downtrend has already given use 2 lower highs and we want to try and
use our moving averages to enter on the third lower high. Now, what we are
going to do is go through the various moving averages to see which ones give us
the best indication of resistance.
So the most
commonly used ones are:
10 day
20 day
50 day
200 day
What we are
looking for is 2 moving averages that, once applied to the chart, the market
bounces in the middle of.
So,
personally I always start off with the 20 day and 50 day as you can see below.
Now, here we
can see that these two are simply too low for this time frame on this pair.
So next I
will get rid of the 20 day and add the next moving average, which is the 200
day. This is the step you should follow on any market you are looking at.
So, here we
go! Now we can see that our two higher lows have bounced right in the middle of
our 50 and 20 day moving averages and so these are the correct ones to use for
this situation.
Right, so we
are now going to be looking for price to retrace in-between the 50 and 200 day
moving averages before we place our trades.
One final
point is that you should always have at least 2 points of reference on your
charts, no matter which indicator or technical analysis method you are using –
I have found that horizontal support and resistance levels work really well
with moving average support/resistance.
Here is an example of what this would
look like once you have added it to your chart:
So, in
actual fact you will not only be looking for the market to retrace in-between
your moving averages, but you will also be looking for it to meet one of the
horizontal support/resistance levels before placing your trade!
I hope you
found this article useful, don’t forget to follow me to be notified of the
articles that I am posting and hit the like button to let me know what you
think.
Also, feel
free to comment below with any questions you might have regarding moving
averages as support and resistance indicators!